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Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?

Outcomes

Yes29.0%
No71.0%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsDec 31, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
PoliticsGazaMiddle EastIsrael

Highlights

Volume
$2.8K
24h Volume
$1
Liquidity
$1.1K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026

Price history

35.0¢

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if police officers, security forces, or military personnel belonging to neither Israel nor a Palestinian entity begin an officially acknowledged police, military, peacekeeping, and/or security operation on the ground within Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify. Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify. Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border. Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify. Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
BuyNoForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?74.0¢113h ago
BuyYesForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?26.0¢113h ago
BuyNoForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?70.0¢11d ago
BuyYesForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?30.0¢11d ago
BuyNoForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?68.0¢101d ago
BuyYesForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?32.0¢101d ago
BuyNoForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?69.0¢301d ago
BuyYesForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?31.0¢301d ago
BuyNoForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?69.0¢201d ago
BuyYesForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?31.0¢201d ago
BuyYesForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?30.0¢51d ago
BuyNoForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?70.0¢51d ago
BuyNoForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?70.0¢31d ago
BuyYesForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?30.0¢31d ago
SellNoForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?76.0¢11d ago
BuyNoForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?76.0¢11d ago
SellNoForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?78.0¢131d ago
BuyNoForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?78.0¢131d ago
SellNoForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?76.0¢181d ago
BuyNoForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?76.0¢181d ago
SellNoForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?76.0¢01d ago
BuyNoForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?76.0¢01d ago
BuyNoForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?80.0¢381d ago
SellNoForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?80.0¢381d ago
BuyNoForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?85.0¢141d ago
BuyYesForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?15.0¢141d ago
BuyNoForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?85.0¢11d ago
BuyYesForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?15.0¢11d ago
BuyYesForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?24.0¢81d ago
BuyNoForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?76.0¢81d ago
BuyNoForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?85.0¢11d ago
BuyYesForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?15.0¢11d ago
BuyYesForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?24.0¢81d ago
BuyNoForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?76.0¢81d ago
BuyYesForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?24.0¢81d ago
BuyNoForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?76.0¢81d ago
BuyNoForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?85.0¢11d ago
BuyYesForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?15.0¢11d ago
BuyNoForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?85.0¢11d ago
BuyYesForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?15.0¢11d ago

Holders

Yes+$118 total · +$12 avg
Trader · P&LShares
0x7678…22a3+$1112,2220x7157…e799+$362Unsung-Climb-$151Evil-Row+$150Close-Chow-Music+$125Belated-Glue+$218Pleasing-Elm-$013Mortified-Wetland+$010Huge-Refuge+$010Monumental-Export-Video+$17
No-$124 total · -$12 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Illustrious-Spectacles-$1132,280Intent-Attitude+$160Cold-Statue-$338Winged-Researcher-$123Vigilant-Congressperson-$121Honored-Insight-Zero-$419Windy-Left-$113Well-To-Do-Brownie-$17Vicious-Trove+$05Cluttered-Incense+$04
PriceSizeTotal
57.0¢10057
70.0¢54
72.0¢12590
73.0¢1,000730
75.0¢6045
92.0¢76
93.0¢500465
94.0¢333313
95.0¢1010
96.0¢1,000960
97.0¢389377
99.0¢2525
Spread 98.0¢Mid 50.0¢
1.0¢781
4.0¢1,00040
10.0¢606
11.0¢30
15.0¢51
24.0¢2,280547
25.0¢10025
26.0¢4612