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China ballistic missile launch by December 31?

China ballistic missile launch by December 31?

Outcomes

Yes17.5%
No82.5%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsDec 31, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
ChinamissileGeopolitics

Highlights

Volume
$6.0K
24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$12.2K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026

Price history

17.5¢

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China launches a ballistic missile between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only launches of ballistic missiles, including intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs), and ballistic anti-ship missiles, will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. Launches of other systems such as cruise missiles, SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
BuyYesChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?18.0¢5631m ago
SellYesChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?18.0¢5631m ago
BuyYesChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?18.0¢2431m ago
SellYesChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?18.0¢2431m ago
BuyYesChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?18.0¢4431m ago
SellYesChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?18.0¢4431m ago
SellYesChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?16.0¢13731m ago
BuyYesChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?16.0¢13731m ago
SellYesChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?17.0¢8312h ago
BuyYesChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?17.0¢8312h ago
SellYesChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?17.0¢5012h ago
BuyYesChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?17.0¢5012h ago
SellYesChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?18.4¢75812h ago
BuyYesChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?17.0¢25812h ago
SellNoChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?83.0¢6112h ago
SellNoChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?83.0¢512h ago
SellNoChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?82.0¢812h ago
BuyYesChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?19.0¢6012h ago
BuyYesChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?19.0¢6012h ago
BuyYesChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?19.0¢5012h ago
BuyYesChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?19.0¢7412h ago
BuyYesChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?20.0¢5012h ago
BuyYesChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?20.0¢8312h ago
BuyYesChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?20.0¢5012h ago
SellYesChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?19.0¢5013h ago
BuyYesChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?19.0¢5013h ago
SellYesChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?19.0¢5013h ago
BuyYesChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?19.0¢5013h ago
SellYesChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?18.0¢1121h ago
SellNoChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?82.0¢1121h ago
SellNoChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?82.0¢121d ago
SellYesChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?18.0¢121d ago
SellNoChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?82.0¢1201d ago
SellYesChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?18.0¢581d ago
SellYesChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?18.0¢121d ago
BuyNoChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?82.0¢501d ago
BuyYesChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?18.0¢171d ago
BuyNoChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?82.0¢171d ago
SellYesChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?18.0¢502d ago
BuyYesChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?18.0¢502d ago

Holders

Yes-$71 total · -$7 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Low-Jug-$7500Known-Use+$2335Vain-Burn-$17300Evil-Row-$8151White-Sandal+$2137Clueless-Dugout-Tomtom-$11108Genuine-Freedom-$2287Breakable-Bottomline-$884Blue-Bend-$160Fumbling-Mare-Pocketwatch-$160
No+$196 total · +$20 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Ripe-Cake+$74949Unlined-Marshmallow+$40439Spirited-Lawyer+$24324Unlucky-Comparison+$34192Unnatural-Energy+$11159Notable-Sitar-$1100Belated-Glue+$663Shimmering-Corruption+$2510xfb66…5e13+$440Fearful-Massage+$237
PriceSizeTotal
74.0¢292216
75.0¢2,8002,100
79.0¢3,6672,897
82.0¢289237
83.0¢5,3534,443
88.0¢8,1677,187
91.0¢4642
92.0¢12,25011,270
96.0¢38,50036,960
97.0¢839814
98.0¢1,2501,225
99.0¢2,7622,734
Spread 98.0¢Mid 50.0¢
1.0¢13,006130
2.0¢1,37528
3.0¢75723
4.0¢2,742110
5.0¢25413
6.0¢91
10.0¢566
12.0¢101
14.0¢61686
15.0¢60090
16.0¢1,107177
17.0¢173