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Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?
W

Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?

Outcomes

Yes97.5%
No2.5%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsAug 4, 2026
ResolverUMA0x69c4…5f24
Source—
Category
arizonaPoliticsElectionsPrimaries

Highlights

Volume
$4.4K
24h Volume
$56
Liquidity
$11.8K
Ends
Aug 4, 2026

Price history

97.5¢

About

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the AZ-01 Republican Primary election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Arizona, such as official statewide results published by the Arizona Secretary of State (https://azsos.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
SellYesWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?95.2¢612h ago
SellNoWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?4.8¢612h ago
SellYesWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?97.1¢5012h ago
BuyYesWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?97.0¢512h ago
BuyYesWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?97.0¢512h ago
BuyYesWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?97.0¢512h ago
BuyYesWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?97.0¢512h ago
SellNoWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?2.9¢812h ago
SellNoWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?2.9¢712h ago
SellNoWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?2.9¢812h ago
SellNoWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?2.9¢812h ago
SellNoWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?1.3¢312d ago
SellYesWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?98.7¢312d ago
SellNoWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?0.7¢992d ago
BuyNoWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?0.6¢42d ago
BuyNoWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?0.7¢602d ago
BuyNoWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?0.7¢62d ago
BuyNoWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?0.8¢302d ago
SellNoWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?1.1¢192d ago
BuyNoWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?1.1¢192d ago
SellYesWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?96.0¢204d ago
BuyYesWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?96.0¢204d ago
BuyYesWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?96.0¢2754d ago
BuyNoWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?4.0¢2504d ago
BuyNoWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?4.0¢254d ago
BuyYesWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?95.9¢954d ago
BuyNoWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?4.1¢954d ago
SellYesWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?94.0¢54d ago
BuyYesWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?94.0¢54d ago
BuyYesWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?95.8¢14d ago
BuyNoWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?4.2¢14d ago
SellYesWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?94.0¢2354d ago
BuyYesWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?94.0¢2354d ago
SellYesWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?90.7¢14d ago
BuyYesWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?90.7¢14d ago
SellYesWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?90.8¢204d ago
BuyYesWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?90.7¢74d ago
SellNoWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?9.2¢134d ago
BuyYesWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?95.8¢14d ago
BuyNoWill Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?4.2¢14d ago

Holders

Yes+$741 total · +$74 avg
Trader · P&LShares
0x98d0…f14a+$6172,820Delightful-Spotlight+$6390Well-Off-Crayon+$98109Squiggly-Waiting+$1320Uncommon-Distributor-Belief+$0200x2f54…82fc+$18Wordy-Doctrine+$550x9488…6b27+$04Spirited-Priest+$11Amazing-Pad+$11
No-$233 total · -$23 avg
Trader · P&LShares
0xa5ef…2966+$471,859Positive-Pole-Destiny-$79300Essential-Diarist-$4250Evil-Row-$25119Flamboyant-Warming-$441170x5533…51ba-$195Solid-Leprosy-$2693Belated-Glue-$6286Bad-Police-$1481Attentive-Crewman-$2679
PriceSizeTotal
99.5¢220219
99.8¢159159
99.9¢1,9331,931
Spread 99.6¢Mid 50.1¢
0.3¢10,00030
0.5¢30,000150
0.6¢50,000300
2.0¢30,000600
5.0¢40,7002,035
10.0¢9,800980
13.3¢752100
15.0¢6,533980
17.7¢565100
20.0¢4,550910
22.1¢38084
25.0¢3,080770