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Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?

Outcomes

Yes19.0%
No81.0%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsAug 7, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
AIgoogleTechGemini

Highlights

Volume
$41.3K
24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$6.4K
Ends
Aug 7, 2026

Price history

19.0¢

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?80.0¢55h ago
SellYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?20.0¢55h ago
SellYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?18.6¢1295h ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?82.0¢545h ago
BuyYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?19.0¢755h ago
BuyNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?81.0¢3905h ago
BuyYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?19.0¢1295h ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?81.0¢2505h ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?81.0¢115h ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?80.0¢46h ago
SellYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?20.0¢46h ago
BuyNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?82.0¢17h ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?82.0¢17h ago
BuyNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?82.0¢48h ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?82.0¢48h ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?81.0¢308h ago
BuyNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?81.0¢308h ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?82.0¢308h ago
BuyNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?81.0¢98h ago
BuyNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?81.0¢118h ago
SellYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?18.0¢58h ago
SellYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?14.0¢58h ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?77.0¢508h ago
BuyNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?77.0¢508h ago
BuyNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?78.0¢27515h ago
BuyYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?22.0¢27515h ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?76.0¢7816h ago
BuyNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?76.0¢7816h ago
BuyNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?78.0¢9720h ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?78.0¢6620h ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?78.0¢3220h ago
BuyYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?23.8¢16823h ago
BuyNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?76.0¢13823h ago
BuyNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?77.0¢3023h ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?77.0¢123h ago
BuyNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?77.0¢123h ago
BuyNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?77.0¢731d ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?77.0¢731d ago
BuyNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?77.0¢191d ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?77.0¢191d ago

Holders

Yes-$5.8K total · -$579 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Pitiful-Hypothermia-$1.7K8,334Thoughtful-Passage-$1.8K7,185Flamboyant-Warming-$1.0K4,373Charming-Grape-$7523,284Suspicious-Goat-$3191,070Tangible-Fuel-$21302Terrible-Hotdog-$64293Zigzag-Octet+$46243Glistening-Lock-$8168Mysterious-Strait-$5986
No+$4.7K total · +$472 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Joyous-Behold+$2.4K9,979Suspicious-Rhyme-Encounter+$1.4K6,470Clean-Tree+$1501,092Doting-Crest+$76923Early-Confirmation-Banquette+$185836Personal-Lava+$107702Salty-Carter+$48680Thunderous-Stock+$191660Roasted-Crossstitch+$139495Villainous-Achiever+$0390
PriceSizeTotal
73.0¢740540
74.0¢500370
79.0¢619489
85.0¢3328
90.0¢2523
93.0¢88
94.0¢600564
95.0¢4038
96.0¢825792
97.0¢2,6672,587
98.0¢7775
99.0¢2221
Spread 98.0¢Mid 50.0¢
1.0¢50
2.0¢311
3.0¢2,67580
4.0¢1,05242
5.0¢83142
6.0¢17210
7.0¢15010
10.0¢51
11.0¢10712
12.0¢17421
14.0¢51
15.0¢508