BrierBrier
HotInsightsWatchlistNotes
Lists
Modeled
Closing soon
This week
Near-certain
Your lists
Trending
SportsGamesSoccerEsportsTennisMLBbaseballleague of legendscounter strike 2ValorantMLSDota 2CryptoFIFA World CupCrypto PricesBrazil Serie ALiga MXCricketUFCBitcoinWeeklyK-leaguePoliticsNorway EliteserienWNBAUCLMulti StrikesSweden AllsvenskanChinese Super League2026 FIFA World Cup
Unlock gated features

Connect a wallet on Robinhood Chain to unlock gated features.

Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?
I

Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?

Outcomes

Yes3.8%
No96.3%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsJul 31, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
IranYemenIsrael x IranGeopolitics

Highlights

Volume
$104.0K
24h Volume
$3.8K
Liquidity
$30.9K
Ends
Jul 31, 2026

Price history

4.7¢

About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel takes a qualifying military action against Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM Arabia Standard Time (AST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles. The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed. Any munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred. “Yemen” refers to the territory within the internationally recognized borders of Yemen. If the precise location of a strike cannot be clearly attributed to the defined territory, it will not qualify. The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (AST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Israel and Yemen and credible reporting.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
BuyNoIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?96.9¢661h ago
BuyYesIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?3.1¢501h ago
BuyYesIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?3.1¢161h ago
BuyNoIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?96.9¢42h ago
BuyYesIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?3.1¢42h ago
BuyYesIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?4.5¢673h ago
SellYesIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?4.6¢413h ago
SellYesIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?4.4¢163h ago
BuyNoIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?96.0¢103h ago
BuyNoIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?96.9¢44h ago
BuyYesIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?3.1¢44h ago
BuyNoIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?96.9¢14h ago
BuyYesIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?3.1¢14h ago
BuyNoIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?96.9¢1564h ago
BuyYesIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?3.1¢1554h ago
BuyYesIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?3.2¢14h ago
SellNoIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?95.5¢16h ago
SellYesIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?4.5¢16h ago
SellNoIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?95.5¢16h ago
SellYesIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?4.5¢16h ago
SellNoIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?95.5¢16h ago
SellYesIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?4.5¢16h ago
SellNoIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?95.5¢16h ago
SellYesIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?4.5¢16h ago
SellNoIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?95.5¢16h ago
SellYesIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?4.5¢16h ago
BuyNoIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?96.4¢9806h ago
SellNoIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?96.4¢8956h ago
BuyYesIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?3.7¢126h ago
BuyYesIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?3.8¢736h ago
BuyNoIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?95.9¢1,4726h ago
BuyYesIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?3.8¢3156h ago
BuyYesIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?3.8¢2506h ago
BuyYesIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?4.1¢2116h ago
SellNoIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?95.9¢646h ago
SellNoIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?95.8¢2006h ago
SellNoIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?95.7¢166h ago
BuyYesIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?4.3¢4156h ago
BuyYesIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?4.4¢16h ago
BuyNoIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?95.6¢16h ago

Holders

Yes-$1.4K total · -$135 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Brief-Resolve-$4626,571Crazy-Clan-$75,003Knobby-Boat-$52,995Skinny-Diving-$1862,815Unlined-Upgrade-$1782,750Precious-Laptop-Olive-$1462,267All-Type-Spork-$1852,000Acidic-Poet-Fall-$601,058Charming-Grape-$391,012Afraid-Retrospect-$85970
No+$1.8K total · +$177 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Downright-Website+$2626,802Required-Spit+$5226,677Smoggy-Sunglasses+$4935,805Unripe-Urgency+$2584,538Hideous-Racer+$112,000Wicked-Implication+$361,277Married-Tenement+$1081,047True-Parallelogram+$159670xf9b7…60a4+$11869Queasy-Airship+$57825
PriceSizeTotal
94.0¢4,1663,916
94.9¢8,4878,054
95.0¢29,39027,921
97.9¢9,0008,811
98.0¢30,00029,400
98.9¢1818
99.0¢705698
99.3¢4646
99.4¢50,00049,700
99.5¢30,00029,850
99.8¢2626
99.9¢6,1746,168
Spread 99.8¢Mid 50.0¢
0.1¢102,064102
0.2¢29,13358
0.3¢48,804146
0.4¢11,57446
0.5¢17,80089
0.6¢5,24231
0.7¢5,94942
0.8¢1,25710
0.9¢1,12310
1.0¢5,55556
1.1¢2,80531
1.2¢83310