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What will be the next Fed rate change?

What will be the next Fed rate change?

Outcomes

Hike69.5%
Cut30.5%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsDec 31, 2028
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
RatefomcWarshrates

Highlights

Volume
$275
24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$2.1K
Ends
Dec 31, 2028

Price history

69.5¢

About

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Hike” if the first FOMC decision to change the upper bound of the target federal funds rate between market creation and December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET is one that increases the specified rate compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. This market will resolve to “Cut” if the first FOMC decision to change the upper bound of the target federal funds rate between market creation and December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET is one that decreases the specified rate compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the FOMC announces no decision changing the specified rate between market creation and December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “50-50”. Any decision changing the specified rate within the specified timeframe, including emergency and non-scheduled decisions, will qualify. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
BuyCutWhat will be the next Fed rate change?82.0¢15d ago
BuyHikeWhat will be the next Fed rate change?18.0¢15d ago
BuyHikeWhat will be the next Fed rate change?63.0¢266d ago
BuyCutWhat will be the next Fed rate change?37.0¢266d ago
BuyCutWhat will be the next Fed rate change?24.0¢266d ago
BuyHikeWhat will be the next Fed rate change?76.0¢266d ago
BuyCutWhat will be the next Fed rate change?38.0¢1218d ago
BuyHikeWhat will be the next Fed rate change?62.0¢168d ago
BuyHikeWhat will be the next Fed rate change?62.0¢1008d ago
BuyHikeWhat will be the next Fed rate change?62.0¢58d ago
SellCutWhat will be the next Fed rate change?36.0¢208d ago
BuyCutWhat will be the next Fed rate change?36.0¢208d ago
SellCutWhat will be the next Fed rate change?17.5¢4012d ago
BuyCutWhat will be the next Fed rate change?15.0¢2012d ago
SellHikeWhat will be the next Fed rate change?80.0¢2012d ago
BuyHikeWhat will be the next Fed rate change?76.0¢2012d ago
BuyCutWhat will be the next Fed rate change?24.0¢2012d ago
BuyCutWhat will be the next Fed rate change?43.0¢2012d ago
BuyHikeWhat will be the next Fed rate change?57.0¢2012d ago

Holders

Hike+$12 total · +$2 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Frozen-Car+$7100Fuzzy-Draft+$220Evil-Row+$116Quarterly-Goddess+$05Belated-Glue+$11
Cut-$11 total · -$4 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Monstrous-Dew-$9121Stale-Pupa-Marines-$120Droopy-Amazon-$11
PriceSizeTotal
82.0¢2924
83.0¢190158
85.0¢10085
88.0¢3026
92.0¢3633
93.0¢6056
94.0¢750705
95.0¢1,1251,069
96.0¢1,4061,350
97.0¢2,0632,001
98.0¢3,6563,583
99.0¢7,8857,806
Spread 98.0¢Mid 50.0¢
1.0¢7,88379
2.0¢3,65673
3.0¢2,06362
4.0¢1,40656
5.0¢1,12556
6.0¢75045
7.0¢1,600112
11.0¢2,100231
20.0¢1,100220
21.0¢28359
22.0¢409
23.0¢51