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Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?

Outcomes

Yes82.0%
No18.0%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsAug 31, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
AIgoogleTechGemini

Highlights

Volume
$12.5K
24h Volume
$337
Liquidity
$5.9K
Ends
Aug 31, 2026

Price history

82.0¢

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
BuyYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?83.0¢1047m ago
BuyNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?17.0¢1047m ago
BuyYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?82.0¢2211h ago
SellYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?82.0¢2211h ago
SellYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?81.0¢5013h ago
BuyYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?81.0¢5013h ago
SellYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?81.0¢2017h ago
BuyYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?81.0¢2017h ago
BuyNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?19.0¢1017h ago
BuyYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?81.0¢1017h ago
BuyNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?19.0¢1017h ago
BuyYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?81.0¢1017h ago
SellYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?81.0¢10018h ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?19.0¢10018h ago
BuyNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?19.0¢10519h ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?19.0¢8219h ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?19.0¢2319h ago
BuyNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?19.0¢1020h ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?19.0¢1020h ago
SellYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?82.0¢311d ago
BuyYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?82.0¢311d ago
BuyNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?16.0¢2001d ago
BuyYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?84.0¢711d ago
BuyYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?84.0¢1001d ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?16.0¢291d ago
SellYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?84.0¢51d ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?16.0¢51d ago
SellYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?84.0¢171d ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?16.0¢171d ago
SellYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?84.0¢231d ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?16.0¢231d ago
SellYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?84.0¢121d ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?16.0¢121d ago
SellYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?84.0¢691d ago
BuyYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?84.0¢191d ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?16.0¢501d ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?16.0¢291d ago
BuyNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?16.0¢291d ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?16.4¢1301d ago
BuyNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?16.0¢291d ago

Holders

Yes+$24 total · +$2 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Thoughtful-Passage+$571,000Terrible-Hotdog-$24581Hideous-Racer-$6400Klutzy-Comma-$8264Radiant-Tab+$9205Easy-Heyday+$2193Thrifty-Dungeon-$3149Upset-Attempt-$7140Starry-Tackle+$5100Snappy-Rooster-$171
No+$71 total · +$7 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Golden-Unemployment+$931,625Tangible-Fuel-$25419Merry-Axis+$8300Unsteady-Convert+$8267Shady-Theism+$0168Distinct-Curd-High-$3160Belated-Glue-$5100Direct-Chainstay-$368Canine-Practice+$152Rapid-Precipitation-$441
PriceSizeTotal
86.0¢585503
87.0¢300261
90.0¢8072
91.0¢6761
92.0¢1312
93.0¢7873
94.0¢167157
95.0¢210200
96.0¢525504
97.0¢676655
98.0¢5049
99.0¢260258
Spread 98.0¢Mid 50.0¢
1.0¢2,00720
2.0¢60
3.0¢2,66780
4.0¢80032
5.0¢121
11.0¢75583
15.0¢37356
19.0¢16832
20.0¢650130
24.0¢18344
26.0¢500130
31.0¢20664