BrierBrier
HotInsightsWatchlistNotes
Lists
Modeled
Closing soon
This week
Near-certain
Your lists
Trending
SportsGamesSoccerEsportsTennisMLBbaseballleague of legendscounter strike 2ValorantMLSFIFA World CupDota 2CryptoCrypto PricesBrazil Serie ALiga MXCricketPoliticsWeeklyUFCK-leagueBitcoinNorway EliteserienWNBAUCLUELChinese Super LeagueGeopoliticsSweden Allsvenskan
Unlock gated features

Connect a wallet on Robinhood Chain to unlock gated features.

US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

Outcomes

Yes73.0%
No27.0%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsJan 1, 2027
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
banksEconomyFinanceBusiness

Highlights

Volume
$4.4K
24h Volume
$1.2K
Liquidity
$5.0K
Ends
Jan 1, 2027

Price history

73.0¢

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
BuyYesUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?74.0¢223m ago
SellYesUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?74.0¢223m ago
SellYesUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?72.0¢1424m ago
BuyYesUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?72.0¢1424m ago
BuyYesUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?74.0¢1424m ago
SellYesUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?74.0¢1424m ago
BuyNoUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?28.0¢715h ago
BuyYesUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?72.0¢715h ago
SellYesUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?73.0¢1412h ago
BuyYesUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?73.0¢812h ago
BuyYesUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?73.0¢612h ago
BuyYesUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?74.0¢218h ago
SellYesUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?74.0¢218h ago
BuyYesUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?75.0¢418h ago
SellYesUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?75.0¢418h ago
SellYesUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?72.0¢15718h ago
BuyYesUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?72.0¢15718h ago
BuyNoUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?27.0¢95318h ago
BuyYesUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?73.0¢10018h ago
BuyYesUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?73.0¢14618h ago
BuyYesUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?73.0¢5018h ago
BuyYesUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?73.0¢15718h ago
BuyYesUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?73.0¢50018h ago
BuyYesUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?75.0¢401d ago
SellYesUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?75.0¢401d ago
BuyYesUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?75.0¢73d ago
SellYesUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?75.0¢73d ago
BuyYesUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?72.0¢64d ago
SellYesUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?72.0¢64d ago
SellYesUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?71.0¢204d ago
SellNoUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?29.0¢204d ago
BuyYesUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?72.0¢144d ago
SellYesUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?72.0¢144d ago
SellYesUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?71.8¢705d ago
SellNoUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?29.0¢135d ago
SellNoUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?28.0¢565d ago
BuyYesUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?74.0¢15d ago
SellYesUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?74.0¢15d ago
SellNoUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?26.0¢205d ago
SellYesUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?74.0¢205d ago

Holders

Yes-$179 total · -$20 avg · 9/10
Trader · P&LShares
Hideous-Racer-$1611,900Trained-Sniffle+$2242Deserted-Schedule-$5140Tangible-Fuel$0129Snappy-Rooster-$970Evil-Row-$650Poor-Sea$050Bumpy-Conscience-$140Solid-Pinstripe—36Belated-Glue+$032
No+$196 total · +$39 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Villainous-Crook+$1961,7120xe827…5209$09530x6b9e…da2b-$171Direct-Chainstay-$122Fuzzy-Draft+$210
PriceSizeTotal
74.0¢269199
75.0¢1,202901
76.0¢403306
84.0¢5042
85.0¢3631
93.0¢2,4092,240
95.0¢66
96.0¢5048
97.0¢5,7665,593
98.0¢2,1502,107
99.0¢2,0091,989
Spread 98.0¢Mid 50.0¢
1.0¢2,00820
2.0¢1,25025
3.0¢85026
4.0¢1,25050
5.0¢4,196210
6.0¢25015
7.0¢75053
8.0¢51041
9.0¢25023
10.0¢93093
13.0¢10814
17.0¢478