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Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
G

Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Outcomes

Yes5.1%
No95.0%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsAug 31, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
IranKhameneiGeopoliticsIran Regime

Highlights

Volume
$16.2K
24h Volume
$813
Liquidity
$16.5K
Ends
Aug 31, 2026

Price history

5.1¢

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greater Tunb Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Greater Tunb Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island. Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established. If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island. If control over Greater Tunb Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
SellNoGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?94.9¢166h ago
SellYesGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?5.1¢166h ago
BuyNoGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?94.9¢52710h ago
BuyYesGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?5.0¢22310h ago
BuyYesGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?5.1¢3910h ago
BuyYesGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?5.1¢23510h ago
SellNoGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?94.8¢3010h ago
SellNoGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?93.1¢25114h ago
BuyNoGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?93.1¢22114h ago
BuyNoGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?93.2¢3014h ago
BuyNoGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?94.6¢2016h ago
SellNoGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?94.6¢2016h ago
SellNoGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?92.7¢2491d ago
BuyNoGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?92.6¢471d ago
SellYesGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?7.3¢291d ago
SellYesGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?7.3¢1571d ago
SellYesGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?7.1¢161d ago
SellNoGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?91.9¢21d ago
SellYesGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?8.1¢21d ago
BuyNoGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?93.8¢71d ago
SellNoGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?93.8¢71d ago
BuyNoGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?93.8¢1001d ago
BuyYesGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?6.2¢1001d ago
SellYesGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?6.2¢2982d ago
BuyYesGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?6.0¢572d ago
BuyYesGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?6.1¢972d ago
BuyYesGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?6.2¢502d ago
BuyYesGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?6.4¢232d ago
BuyYesGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?6.4¢232d ago
BuyYesGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?6.7¢292d ago
BuyYesGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?6.7¢202d ago
SellYesGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?9.0¢1212d ago
BuyYesGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?8.9¢502d ago
BuyYesGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?9.0¢502d ago
SellNoGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?91.0¢112d ago
SellNoGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?91.0¢102d ago
SellNoGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?92.5¢4042d ago
SellYesGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?7.5¢4042d ago
SellNoGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?92.5¢3532d ago
SellYesGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?7.5¢3532d ago

Holders

Yes-$417 total · -$42 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Excellent-Flicker+$63,090Right-Anniversary-$3862,261Dull-Smith+$2469Pleasing-Elm-$0235Evil-Row-$17230Leading-Sanctity-$19225Tough-Mask+$0223Snoopy-Auction+$1110Quarterly-Compress-$3100Flamboyant-Warming-$197
No+$329 total · +$33 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Hideous-Racer-$52,000Downright-Website-$101,446Smart-Pathway+$1341,0000xff7c…b233+$38859Each-Registration+$98529Imaginative-River+$0527Blond-Wriggler+$4221Small-Pompom-$1205Solid-Leprosy+$69147Teeming-Min+$1100
PriceSizeTotal
78.7¢244192
80.0¢1,150920
81.0¢7,3685,968
86.0¢9,2867,986
89.9¢55
90.0¢2,5002,250
91.0¢11,11110,111
95.0¢18,71017,775
99.6¢3737
99.7¢5050
99.8¢5252
99.9¢174174
Spread 99.8¢Mid 50.0¢
0.1¢31,10831
0.2¢12,82926
0.3¢8,29225
0.4¢5,94324
0.5¢3,73319
0.6¢2,87117
0.7¢2,19815
0.8¢1,79714
0.9¢1,60514
1.0¢2,00020
1.1¢4615
1.2¢4575