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Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
A

Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Outcomes

Yes4.7%
No95.3%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsAug 31, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
IranKhameneiGeopoliticsIran Regime

Highlights

Volume
$66.5K
24h Volume
$63.6K
Liquidity
$22.1K
Ends
Aug 31, 2026

Price history

4.7¢

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abu Musa Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Abu Musa Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island. Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established. If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island. If control over Abu Musa Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
SellYesAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?6.4¢1303h ago
SellNoAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?93.6¢1303h ago
SellYesAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?6.4¢3353h ago
SellNoAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?93.6¢3353h ago
SellYesAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?6.4¢4703h ago
SellNoAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?93.6¢4703h ago
SellYesAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?6.4¢4653h ago
SellNoAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?93.6¢4653h ago
SellYesAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?6.4¢4553h ago
SellNoAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?93.6¢4553h ago
SellYesAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?4.2¢13h ago
SellNoAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?95.8¢13h ago
SellYesAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?6.4¢4553h ago
SellNoAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?93.6¢4553h ago
SellYesAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?6.4¢4653h ago
SellNoAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?93.6¢4653h ago
SellYesAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?6.4¢153h ago
SellNoAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?93.6¢153h ago
SellYesAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?6.4¢4553h ago
SellNoAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?93.6¢4553h ago
SellYesAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?6.4¢4643h ago
SellNoAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?93.6¢4643h ago
SellYesAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?6.4¢13h ago
SellNoAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?93.6¢13h ago
SellYesAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?4.1¢53h ago
SellNoAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?95.9¢53h ago
SellNoAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?93.5¢53h ago
BuyNoAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?93.5¢53h ago
BuyNoAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?96.0¢54h ago
BuyYesAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?4.0¢54h ago
BuyYesAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?6.9¢54h ago
BuyNoAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?93.1¢54h ago
SellYesAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?3.8¢14h ago
BuyYesAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?3.8¢14h ago
SellYesAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?5.5¢4804h ago
SellNoAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?94.5¢4804h ago
SellNoAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?92.8¢4704h ago
SellYesAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?7.2¢4534h ago
SellYesAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?7.2¢174h ago
SellYesAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?7.2¢9534h ago

Holders

Yes-$54 total · -$5 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Tough-Mask-$10407Dull-Smith-$9400Tepid-Midwife-$17289Stale-Burning-$6100Leading-Sanctity-$599Official-Lollipop-$178Demanding-Lard-$175Sizzling-Patience-$360Unhealthy-Prize+$052Quarterly-Compress-$250
No+$63 total · +$6 avg
Trader · P&LShares
0xff7c…b233+$261,006Immense-Businessman+$7306Downright-Website+$8262Faraway-Con+$195Yummy-Winter+$784Small-Pompom-$062Clueless-Dugout-Tomtom+$550Verifiable-Obstacle+$638Evil-Row+$220Insignificant-Forelimb+$08
PriceSizeTotal
94.9¢192182
95.0¢18,71017,775
97.8¢77
97.9¢9,0008,811
98.0¢30,00029,400
99.0¢300297
99.2¢77
99.3¢184183
99.4¢50,00049,700
99.5¢30,00029,850
99.8¢1515
99.9¢2,2202,218
Spread 99.8¢Mid 50.0¢
0.1¢39,02839
0.2¢24,88350
0.3¢14,55944
0.4¢7,19429
0.5¢4,73024
0.6¢21,346128
0.7¢6,82848
0.8¢2,43219
0.9¢2,15319
1.0¢3,30833
1.1¢1,89921
1.2¢1,64020