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Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
H

Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Outcomes

Yes3.7%
No96.3%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsAug 31, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
IranKhameneiGeopoliticsIran Regime

Highlights

Volume
$8.7K
24h Volume
$1.1K
Liquidity
$31.1K
Ends
Aug 31, 2026

Price history

3.7¢

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hormuz Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hormuz Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island. Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established. If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island. If control over Hormuz Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
BuyYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?4.3¢2332h ago
SellYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?4.7¢72h ago
SellYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?4.6¢992h ago
SellYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?4.5¢592h ago
SellYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?3.6¢432h ago
SellYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?3.6¢252h ago
SellYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?2.7¢5620h ago
BuyYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?2.7¢5620h ago
SellNoHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?94.1¢120h ago
BuyNoHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?94.1¢120h ago
SellYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?2.9¢76420h ago
BuyYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?2.7¢34820h ago
BuyYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?2.8¢5620h ago
BuyYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?2.8¢9920h ago
BuyYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?2.8¢3920h ago
BuyYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?2.9¢7120h ago
SellNoHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?97.0¢5120h ago
BuyYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?3.3¢5020h ago
BuyYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?3.4¢4020h ago
SellNoHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?96.1¢1020h ago
BuyNoHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?96.7¢51d ago
SellNoHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?96.7¢51d ago
BuyNoHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?96.5¢4811d ago
SellNoHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?96.6¢3361d ago
SellNoHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?96.5¢541d ago
BuyYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?3.7¢511d ago
BuyYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?3.8¢401d ago
BuyNoHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?95.7¢1051d ago
BuyYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?3.7¢321d ago
BuyYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?4.6¢431d ago
SellNoHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?95.4¢301d ago
BuyYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?6.5¢7641d ago
BuyNoHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?93.4¢3561d ago
SellYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?6.5¢3241d ago
SellYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?6.5¢291d ago
SellYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?6.5¢551d ago
BuyYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?6.0¢331d ago
SellYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?6.1¢31d ago
BuyNoHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?94.0¢301d ago
BuyYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?5.6¢182d ago

Holders

Yes-$11 total · -$1 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Tough-Mask+$2527Pleasing-Elm+$4396Authentic-Flexibility-$6388Official-Lollipop-$0263Weighty-Peer-$1233Leading-Sanctity-$3200Worthless-Pat-$8173Bouncy-Saving-$0152Snoopy-Auction-$0132Charming-Grape+$0119
No+$32 total · +$4 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Downright-Website+$192,495Velvety-Rutabaga+$11329Small-Pompom+$1160Imaginative-River+$1105Yummy-Winter+$150Immense-Businessman-$050Mortified-Wetland+$010Somber-Sale-$05
PriceSizeTotal
71.0¢3,4482,448
76.0¢5,0003,800
78.6¢243191
81.0¢7,3685,968
85.0¢8,6677,367
89.9¢55
90.0¢30,00027,000
94.0¢3028
94.9¢25,07823,799
95.0¢17,61016,730
99.8¢128127
99.9¢500,224499,724
Spread 99.8¢Mid 50.0¢
0.1¢1,083,8581,084
0.2¢16,90634
0.3¢9,96330
0.4¢7,20029
0.5¢4,73524
0.6¢3,70622
0.7¢2,90920
0.8¢2,42819
0.9¢1,60814
1.0¢2,72027
1.1¢310
2.0¢72014