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Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?
K

Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?

Outcomes

Yes52.0%
No48.0%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsDec 31, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
AIKimiTechBig Tech

Highlights

Volume
$1.6K
24h Volume
$88
Liquidity
$564
Ends
Dec 31, 2026

Price history

52.0¢

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Kimi K4 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K4 (e.g., Kimi K4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K3.0, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K3. The release of any model within the Kimi K4 family will qualify as “Kimi K4”. Products labeled as Kimi K3.5 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
SellNoKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?41.0¢188h ago
BuyNoKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?41.0¢188h ago
BuyNoKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?46.0¢5011h ago
BuyYesKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?54.0¢5011h ago
SellNoKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?45.0¢2012h ago
BuyNoKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?45.0¢2012h ago
SellYesKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?43.0¢201d ago
BuyYesKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?43.0¢201d ago
SellNoKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?45.0¢21d ago
SellYesKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?55.0¢21d ago
BuyYesKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?53.0¢21d ago
BuyNoKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?47.0¢21d ago
BuyYesKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?41.0¢1931d ago
BuyNoKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?59.0¢501d ago
BuyNoKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?59.0¢501d ago
BuyNoKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?59.0¢931d ago
BuyYesKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?40.6¢121d ago
BuyNoKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?59.0¢71d ago
SellYesKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?40.0¢51d ago
SellYesKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?38.0¢681d ago
BuyYesKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?38.0¢181d ago
BuyYesKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?38.0¢501d ago
BuyYesKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?41.0¢51d ago
BuyNoKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?59.0¢51d ago
BuyNoKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?58.0¢51d ago
BuyYesKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?42.0¢51d ago
BuyNoKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?58.0¢201d ago
SellNoKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?58.0¢201d ago
SellYesKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?32.0¢702d ago
SellNoKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?69.0¢02d ago
BuyYesKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?32.0¢502d ago
SellNoKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?68.0¢202d ago
SellYesKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?32.0¢232d ago
BuyYesKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?32.0¢232d ago
SellNoKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?64.0¢132d ago
SellYesKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?36.0¢132d ago
SellNoKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?66.0¢132d ago
BuyNoKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?66.0¢132d ago
BuyYesKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?33.0¢212d ago
BuyNoKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?67.0¢132d ago

Holders

Yes+$65 total · +$6 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Sore-Pitching+$21193Earnest-Rawhide+$2383Evil-Row+$682Belated-Glue+$739Embarrassed-Curd+$421Valuable-Pump+$112Noted-Lily-Crisis+$15Bewitched-Auditorium+$14Virtual-Cheddar-$020xbada…d874+$02
No-$65 total · -$8 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Monthly-Riding-$332840xca75…0a64-$650Helpful-Cheese-$740Direct-Chainstay-$1228Wet-Event-$420Past-Disguise-$210Gripping-Riot-$15Early-Frosting-$14
PriceSizeTotal
65.0¢128
70.0¢10070
83.0¢108
84.0¢65
89.0¢98
92.0¢76
93.0¢1413
96.0¢2524
97.0¢3534
98.0¢5049
99.0¢115114
Spread 98.0¢Mid 50.0¢
1.0¢4,26143
2.0¢2,25645
3.0¢75023
4.0¢25010
5.0¢131
11.0¢32536
41.0¢5021
43.0¢470202
44.0¢11350
49.0¢3316