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Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Outcomes

Yes10.5%
No89.5%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsOct 4, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
Global ElectionsBrazilWorldPolitics

Highlights

Volume
$100.8K
24h Volume
$8
Liquidity
$28.9K
Ends
Oct 4, 2026

Price history

10.5¢

About

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
SellYesWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?10.0¢812h ago
SellNoWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?90.0¢312h ago
SellNoWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?90.0¢512h ago
BuyNoWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?91.0¢11d ago
BuyYesWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?9.0¢11d ago
BuyNoWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?91.0¢251d ago
BuyYesWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?9.0¢181d ago
BuyYesWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?9.0¢71d ago
BuyNoWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?91.0¢1101d ago
BuyYesWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?9.0¢801d ago
BuyYesWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?9.0¢301d ago
BuyYesWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?12.8¢1781d ago
BuyNoWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?87.0¢1391d ago
BuyNoWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?88.0¢51d ago
SellYesWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?12.0¢341d ago
BuyNoWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?91.0¢111d ago
BuyYesWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?9.0¢111d ago
BuyNoWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?90.6¢1101d ago
BuyYesWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?9.0¢621d ago
BuyYesWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?10.0¢491d ago
BuyYesWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?10.0¢11d ago
SellYesWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?10.0¢11d ago
BuyYesWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?10.0¢161d ago
SellYesWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?10.0¢61d ago
SellYesWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?10.0¢101d ago
SellYesWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?8.9¢401d ago
BuyYesWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?8.0¢31d ago
BuyYesWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?9.0¢301d ago
BuyYesWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?9.0¢71d ago
BuyNoWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?86.0¢51d ago
BuyYesWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?14.0¢51d ago
BuyNoWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?86.0¢101d ago
BuyYesWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?14.0¢51d ago
BuyYesWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?14.0¢51d ago
SellYesWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?8.0¢22d ago
BuyYesWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?8.0¢22d ago
SellYesWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?10.0¢62d ago
BuyYesWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?10.0¢62d ago
BuyNoWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?90.0¢22d ago
BuyYesWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?10.0¢22d ago

Holders

Yes-$942 total · -$94 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Embellished-Prevalence-$38511,281Reflecting-Tuneup-$3074,358Dearest-Agenda+$332,544Noxious-Subtitle-$192,231Overcooked-Pomegranate-$921,985Spotless-Inch-$771,819Magnificent-Night-$441,270Pristine-Business+$51,041Harmful-Gnu-$14970Slushy-Parrot-$41845
No+$328 total · +$33 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Unwelcome-Fig-$23316,9970x6c10…df5c+$2534,179Zesty-Disappointment+$843,018Cheerful-Aluminum+$1202,992Straight-Apprehension+$301,039Polished-Hexagon-$2702Bleak-Malice+$27585Embellished-Folklore+$20500Dreary-Savannah+$17500Fearful-Independence+$12427
PriceSizeTotal
87.0¢5,7124,969
88.0¢833733
89.0¢2,2161,972
90.0¢2,5002,250
91.0¢11,19410,187
92.0¢7,2196,641
93.0¢3,7503,488
95.0¢38,22036,309
96.0¢20,62519,800
97.0¢42,00540,745
98.0¢47,87546,918
99.0¢136,137134,776
Spread 98.0¢Mid 50.0¢
1.0¢106,6251,066
2.0¢28,500570
3.0¢16,850505
4.0¢5,875235
5.0¢4,255213
6.0¢1,25875
7.0¢69248
8.0¢33927
9.0¢32229