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Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?

Outcomes

Yes6.5%
No93.5%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsDec 31, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
PoliticsCaliforniaUS Election

Highlights

Volume
$56.8K
24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$14.3K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026

Price history

6.5¢

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
SellNoWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?93.0¢22d ago
SellYesWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?7.0¢22d ago
SellYesWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?6.0¢203d ago
SellNoWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?94.0¢203d ago
BuyYesWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?6.0¢2003d ago
BuyNoWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?94.0¢1523d ago
BuyNoWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?94.0¢483d ago
BuyYesWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?6.0¢703d ago
BuyNoWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?94.0¢23d ago
SellYesWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?6.0¢203d ago
SellYesWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?6.0¢483d ago
BuyYesWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?5.0¢303d ago
BuyNoWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?95.0¢303d ago
BuyYesWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?5.0¢443d ago
SellYesWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?5.0¢443d ago
SellYesWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?7.2¢503d ago
BuyYesWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?7.0¢403d ago
SellNoWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?92.0¢103d ago
SellYesWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?8.0¢204d ago
SellNoWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?92.0¢204d ago
BuyYesWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?9.0¢1004d ago
SellYesWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?9.0¢1004d ago
BuyYesWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?9.0¢154d ago
BuyNoWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?91.0¢54d ago
BuyNoWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?91.0¢104d ago
SellYesWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?8.0¢104d ago
SellNoWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?92.0¢104d ago
BuyYesWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?9.0¢304d ago
BuyNoWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?91.0¢104d ago
BuyNoWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?91.0¢104d ago
BuyNoWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?91.0¢104d ago
SellYesWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?8.0¢104d ago
SellNoWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?92.0¢104d ago
SellYesWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?8.0¢204d ago
BuyYesWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?8.0¢204d ago
BuyYesWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?10.0¢104d ago
BuyNoWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?90.0¢104d ago
SellYesWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?8.0¢604d ago
BuyYesWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?8.0¢204d ago
BuyYesWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?8.0¢204d ago

Holders

Yes-$911 total · -$91 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Ample-Instance-$3572,343Focused-Rostrum-$123836Medium-Admission-$57670Warlike-Trailpatrol-$62570Tense-Fort-$8536Tangible-Fuel-$76524Big-Hearted-Patrol-$40350Stale-Efficiency-$56294Optimal-Swath-$37200Tense-Break-$95200
No+$2.1K total · +$210 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Nautical-Placement+$1.3K5,276Sentimental-Quest+$1581,269Winding-Daylight+$5151,048Unsteady-Enjoyment+$123844Arctic-Kickoff+$29278Snappy-Rooster-$072Shameful-Testimonial+$1053Concerned-Corporal+$840Worse-Haven+$335Required-Saffron+$234
PriceSizeTotal
71.0¢262186
72.0¢3,0182,173
77.0¢3,9133,013
79.0¢248196
81.0¢4,7893,879
84.0¢200168
86.0¢7,0006,020
91.0¢10,8899,909
94.0¢99
95.0¢30,72029,184
98.0¢77
99.0¢4,7564,709
Spread 98.0¢Mid 50.0¢
1.0¢8058
2.0¢140
3.0¢35311
4.0¢53922
5.0¢58329
6.0¢74545