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Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?

Outcomes

Yes10.0%
No90.0%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsDec 31, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
PoliticsNew York CityNYC MayorMamdani

Highlights

Volume
$22.3K
24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$11.0K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026

Price history

10.0¢

About

Zohran Mamdani has proposed raising New York City's minimum wage to $30 an hour by 2030. You can read more about that here: https://www.cityandstateny.com/policy/2025/02/mamdani-unveils-30-30-minimum-wage-push-part-mayoral-campaign/403015/?oref=csny-homepage-top-story This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur: 1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election. 2. A policy is enacted in New York City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, which would establish a minimum wage of at least $30 an hour, effective by December 31, 2030, or earlier. The policy will be considered to have been enacted if a local or state law is passed, or mayoral executive order is issued which will bring the stated minimum wage into effect within the specified timeframe. The introduction, proposal, or announcement of such a policy without legal enactment will not qualify. The enactment of a policy that initiates a structured increase of the minimum wage to at least $30 an hour in NYC over the course of several years will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, so long as that policy explicitly outlines it will achieve that level by the stated date. Enactment of limited or temporary pilots which are not formally intended for citywide expansion (e.g., policies that explicitly cover only select boroughs, neighborhoods, or time periods) will not count. Policies which include limited exceptions—such as such as exceptions for restaurant workers, etc.—will still qualify as long as a general policy of a $30 per hour minimum wage in New York City by 2030 is enacted. If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, or if the stated terms are not satisfied within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
BuyYesWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?10.0¢152d ago
SellYesWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?10.0¢152d ago
SellYesWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?11.0¢292d ago
BuyYesWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?11.0¢292d ago
SellYesWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?10.0¢293d ago
BuyYesWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?10.0¢293d ago
SellYesWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?10.0¢2293d ago
BuyYesWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?10.0¢293d ago
BuyYesWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?10.0¢503d ago
SellNoWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?90.0¢1503d ago
SellYesWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?10.0¢1003d ago
SellNoWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?90.0¢1003d ago
SellYesWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?11.0¢1363d ago
SellNoWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?89.0¢363d ago
BuyYesWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?11.0¢1003d ago
SellNoWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?86.0¢23d ago
SellYesWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?14.0¢23d ago
SellNoWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?88.0¢156d ago
BuyNoWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?88.0¢156d ago
SellNoWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?89.0¢406d ago
BuyNoWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?89.0¢406d ago
SellNoWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?90.0¢56d ago
BuyNoWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?90.0¢56d ago
SellNoWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?90.0¢1106d ago
BuyNoWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?90.0¢606d ago
SellYesWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?10.0¢506d ago
SellNoWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?90.0¢156d ago
SellYesWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?10.0¢156d ago
BuyYesWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?10.0¢56d ago
SellYesWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?10.0¢56d ago
SellNoWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?90.0¢108d ago
SellYesWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?10.0¢108d ago
SellYesWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?9.6¢508d ago
BuyYesWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?9.0¢208d ago
BuyYesWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?10.0¢308d ago
SellYesWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?11.0¢508d ago
BuyYesWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?11.0¢48d ago
BuyYesWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?11.0¢468d ago
BuyNoWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?87.0¢611d ago
SellNoWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?87.0¢611d ago

Holders

Yes-$67 total · -$7 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Unique-Person-$10505Warped-Proportion-$5500Long-Term-Pet-$20400Perfumed-Appointment-$3345Straight-Hunting-$7100Real-Time-$487Impossible-Stop-$782Wet-Event-$1160Rowdy-Tenement-$0430x6b0e…e3ea-$040
No+$186 total · +$19 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Ample-Instance+$22555Glittering-Laparoscope+$63540Sore-Tortellini+$65362Daring-Pirate+$18340Meaty-Rubric+$6250Untimely-Mood+$151Sophisticated-Methane+$650Worse-Haven+$134International-Skullduggery+$326Courteous-Cloak+$123
PriceSizeTotal
68.0¢2,1881,488
72.0¢271195
73.0¢2,5931,893
77.0¢3,3482,578
80.0¢260208
81.0¢7,6696,212
82.0¢5,0564,146
86.0¢7,0006,020
91.0¢10,8899,909
94.0¢99
95.0¢30,72029,184
99.0¢2222
Spread 98.0¢Mid 50.0¢
1.0¢12,935129
2.0¢6,069121
3.0¢3,30999
4.0¢93838
5.0¢1,55978
6.0¢33420
7.0¢252
8.0¢62350
9.0¢21619