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AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Outcomes

Yes84.5%
No15.5%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsDec 31, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
BusinessAITechBig Tech

Highlights

Volume
$108.6K
24h Volume
$7
Liquidity
$4.6K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026

Price history

84.5¢

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state-of-the-art (SOTA) AI model achieves a score of 90% or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
SellNoAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?13.0¢78h ago
BuyNoAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?13.0¢78h ago
BuyNoAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?17.0¢91d ago
BuyYesAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?83.0¢91d ago
SellYesAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?85.0¢501d ago
BuyYesAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?85.0¢501d ago
SellYesAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?86.0¢502d ago
BuyYesAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?86.0¢502d ago
SellYesAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?83.0¢52d ago
BuyYesAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?83.0¢52d ago
SellYesAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?86.0¢1142d ago
BuyYesAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?86.0¢52d ago
BuyYesAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?86.0¢502d ago
BuyYesAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?86.0¢502d ago
SellNoAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?14.0¢92d ago
SellYesAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?87.0¢2002d ago
BuyYesAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?87.0¢102d ago
BuyYesAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?87.0¢502d ago
BuyYesAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?87.0¢52d ago
SellNoAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?13.0¢852d ago
BuyYesAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?87.0¢52d ago
BuyYesAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?87.0¢52d ago
BuyYesAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?87.0¢52d ago
BuyYesAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?87.0¢52d ago
BuyYesAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?87.0¢52d ago
BuyYesAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?87.0¢52d ago
BuyYesAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?87.0¢52d ago
BuyYesAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?87.0¢52d ago
BuyYesAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?87.0¢52d ago
BuyYesAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?87.0¢52d ago
BuyNoAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?14.0¢73d ago
SellNoAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?14.0¢73d ago
SellYesAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?87.0¢15d ago
SellNoAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?13.0¢15d ago
SellNoAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?10.0¢147d ago
SellYesAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?90.0¢147d ago
BuyYesAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?87.0¢437d ago
SellYesAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?87.0¢437d ago
SellYesAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?86.0¢67d ago
SellNoAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?14.0¢67d ago

Holders

Yes+$5.0K total · +$497 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Somber-Ice+$3.6K9,309Light-Mayonnaise-$985,090Growling-Residue+$9921,506Watchful-Fund-$21546Identical-Circumference+$271417Merry-Chairman-$32318Squeaky-Weather+$152298Abandoned-Deliberation+$56284Decisive-Spokeswoman-$1114Athletic-Screwup+$74100
No-$9.3K total · -$931 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Jittery-Leek-$6.8K12,569Compassionate-Kneejerk-$8621,580Naughty-Middle-$9371,575Daring-Liquor-$281821Merry-Axis+$14700Jolly-Leader-$176287Unsteady-Derivative-$162244Required-Saffron-$1185Hospitable-Touch-$6290Proud-Oats-$4269
PriceSizeTotal
86.0¢1,4791,272
87.0¢3,6493,175
88.0¢1,5171,335
91.0¢6761
92.0¢900828
93.0¢5753
94.0¢55
98.0¢800784
Spread 97.0¢Mid 49.5¢
1.0¢5,00850
3.0¢2,66780
5.0¢60
6.0¢60036
10.0¢596
12.0¢60072
15.0¢37356
16.0¢1,272204
19.0¢16832
25.0¢17644
32.0¢20064
39.0¢15460