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9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Outcomes

Yes7.8%
No92.3%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsDec 31, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
WeatherScienceClimate & ScienceNatural Disasters

Highlights

Volume
$257.0K
24h Volume
$50
Liquidity
$10.1K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026

Price history

7.8¢

About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 9.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
SellNo9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?91.3¢5010h ago
SellYes9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?8.7¢2510h ago
BuyNo9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?91.4¢2510h ago
SellNo9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?91.2¢51d ago
BuyNo9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?91.2¢51d ago
BuyNo9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?91.3¢51d ago
SellNo9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?91.3¢51d ago
BuyNo9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?91.2¢52d ago
BuyYes9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?8.8¢52d ago
BuyNo9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?91.2¢3,0002d ago
BuyYes9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?8.8¢3,0002d ago
BuyNo9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?91.2¢12d ago
BuyYes9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?8.8¢12d ago
BuyNo9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?91.2¢1,0002d ago
BuyYes9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?8.8¢1,0002d ago
BuyNo9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?91.2¢12d ago
BuyYes9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?8.8¢12d ago
BuyNo9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?91.2¢1,3962d ago
BuyYes9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?8.8¢1,3962d ago
BuyNo9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?91.2¢5002d ago
BuyYes9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?8.8¢5002d ago
BuyYes9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?9.3¢212d ago
SellYes9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?9.7¢102d ago
BuyNo9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?91.0¢112d ago
SellYes9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?8.8¢8673d ago
BuyYes9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?8.8¢8673d ago
BuyNo9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?91.2¢303d ago
BuyYes9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?8.8¢303d ago
SellYes9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?8.8¢1144d ago
BuyYes9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?8.8¢1144d ago
BuyNo9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?91.2¢3135d ago
BuyYes9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?8.8¢3135d ago
BuyNo9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?91.1¢1515d ago
SellNo9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?91.1¢175d ago
BuyYes9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?8.9¢1345d ago
BuyYes9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?8.8¢55d ago
BuyNo9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?91.2¢55d ago
BuyYes9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?6.4¢166d ago
BuyNo9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?93.6¢166d ago
BuyYes9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?6.9¢299d ago

Holders

Yes-$2.9K total · -$287 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Descriptive-Bottomline-$3148,855Handmade-Gathering-$767,231Novel-Orient-$1635,557Frequent-Produce-$885,099Several-Model-$4475,002Motionless-Commonsense-$1.5K2,781Pristine-Blanket-$1212,496Radiant-Shorts-$662,440Masculine-Ascend-$802,343Oval-Swivel-$172,281
No+$2.7K total · +$274 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Striped-Worry+$58227,303Punctual-Sand+$2916,127Unaware-Jackal+$1674,587Stained-Cynic+$2683,634Far-Off-College+$423,605Unequaled-Thump+$313,000Buoyant-Ice+$182,077Ancient-Excursion+$572,048Perfumed-Salmon+$1052,000Short-Term-Conditioner+$1.2K1,928
PriceSizeTotal
88.9¢1,6461,464
94.9¢1212
95.0¢2019
96.0¢500480
97.8¢2,0001,956
97.9¢1,3641,336
98.0¢4,6004,508
99.5¢3029
99.6¢21,25021,165
99.7¢10,0009,970
99.8¢5,0115,001
99.9¢12,15912,147
Spread 99.8¢Mid 50.0¢
0.1¢70,61771
0.2¢34,74169
0.3¢1,5935
0.4¢5,25021
0.5¢60
0.6¢3,33320
0.7¢7215
0.8¢6255
0.9¢5,55650
1.0¢2,63026
1.1¢1001
1.2¢5006