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10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Outcomes

Yes1.8%
No98.3%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsDec 31, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
ScienceWeatherClimate & ScienceNatural Disasters

Highlights

Volume
$728.1K
24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$79.1K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026

Price history

1.8¢

About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 10.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
SellNo10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?98.0¢332d ago
SellYes10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?2.0¢332d ago
BuyYes10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?2.0¢1003d ago
SellYes10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?2.0¢1003d ago
BuyNo10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?98.4¢13d ago
SellNo10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?98.4¢13d ago
SellNo10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?98.0¢14d ago
SellYes10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?2.0¢14d ago
SellYes10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?2.0¢7615d ago
SellNo10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?98.0¢515d ago
SellNo10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?98.0¢505d ago
SellNo10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?98.0¢6055d ago
SellNo10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?97.9¢565d ago
SellNo10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?97.7¢26d ago
BuyNo10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?97.7¢26d ago
SellNo10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?97.7¢96d ago
BuyNo10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?97.7¢96d ago
BuyNo10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?98.0¢2006d ago
SellNo10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?98.0¢1966d ago
SellNo10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?98.0¢46d ago
SellNo10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?97.6¢28d ago
BuyNo10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?97.6¢28d ago
SellNo10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?97.6¢3,0009d ago
BuyNo10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?97.6¢2,5589d ago
BuyNo10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?97.6¢519d ago
BuyNo10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?97.7¢519d ago
BuyNo10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?97.8¢3419d ago
BuyNo10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?98.0¢14410d ago
SellNo10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?98.0¢4610d ago
SellNo10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?98.0¢910d ago
SellNo10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?98.0¢8910d ago
SellNo10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?97.5¢11412d ago
SellYes10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?2.5¢6412d ago
BuyNo10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?97.6¢5012d ago
BuyYes10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?2.5¢49012d ago
SellYes10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?2.5¢49012d ago
BuyNo10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?98.0¢113d ago
SellNo10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?98.0¢113d ago
BuyNo10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?98.0¢113d ago
SellNo10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?98.0¢113d ago

Holders

Yes-$1.8K total · -$177 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Brilliant-Excursion-$56516,000Shameless-Workout-Orchard+$14715,683Several-Model-$61014,666Insidious-Mushroom-$28010,000Radiant-Shorts-$3575,009Tremendous-Divide+$424,040Legal-Patriot+$173,226Monumental-Ray-$1002,861Passionate-Moonscape-$592,324Extraneous-Anterior-$52,007
No+$1.9K total · +$187 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Compassionate-Kneejerk+$45514,096Leafy-Pseudoscience+$36211,947Vague-Venison+$45111,6800x8931…a90c+$253,211Authentic-Crate+$1023,169Lasting-Puffin+$1162,662Snoopy-Pitching+$1002,600Rowdy-Innocent+$782,397Perfumed-Salmon+$982,232Stained-Cynic+$822,209
PriceSizeTotal
95.0¢1,020969
97.0¢250243
97.6¢66
97.7¢6,5226,372
97.8¢2,0001,956
98.0¢2,1002,058
99.4¢1111
99.5¢12,68712,623
99.6¢2,5002,490
99.7¢10,0099,979
99.8¢5,0004,990
99.9¢62,01861,956
Spread 99.8¢Mid 50.0¢
0.1¢125,724126
0.2¢160,321321
0.3¢28,67686
0.4¢11,12545
0.5¢3,25016
0.6¢2,25013
0.7¢2502
0.8¢2752
0.9¢2002
1.1¢6868
1.5¢83413
1.6¢551