See the shape of the market, not just the price.
Deep market analytics, probabilistic distributions, and expanded market discovery. Buit for
Polymarket. Coming to other platforms soon.
Coming soon
Deep market analytics, probabilistic distributions, and expanded market discovery. Buit for
Scaling the ecosystem
Brier works with prediction market traders to close the gap between what a market says and what a market should say. Through distribution modeling, custom market organization, and divergence detection, we help traders spot mispriced brackets before they close.
A different prediction
An open letter on the future of prediction market tooling
Twelve months ago, prediction markets were a niche interest for a few thousand crypto-native traders and election-cycle news junkies. Today they're being called one of the fastest-growing corners of finance, and the numbers back that up. But the story underneath the growth curve is more interesting than the curve itself.
PoliticsElectionsSportsSoccerCryptoFinanceCultureTechAIWorldEconomyGeopolitics
US ElectionMidtermsEsportsTennisMLBNFLCricketWeatherEquitiesEarningsBig TechPrimariesTrumpHouse Elections
GamesCounter-Strike 2League of LegendsUCLMLSNWSLBaseballCrypto PricesDaily TemperatureHighest TemperaturePre-MarketGlobal ElectionsNov 4 ElectionsIranEuropa Conference League
A better way to explore.
Discover thousands of markets buried amongst the crowds. and find your edge.
Customizable
Your homebase for predictions.
Take personal, dynamic notes on any ongoing markets. Your thoughts, your space, your predictions.
Dynamic notes
Rich-text notes with slash commands and inline market mentions. Every keystroke autosaves as you think.
Live pricing
Drop a live market table into any note. Prices stay current, so your thesis always reads against the latest odds.
Plot anything
Embed a price-history chart for any market or event and watch the distribution move right inside your notes.
Expansive
Built to keep up with the market.
Watchlists, volume treemaps, and custom lists, so thousands of markets never turn into noise.
Monitor any market
Easily get back to markets you're keeping an eye on, and jump in at any moment.
Add to watchlist
State of the market
See what's hot and what's not, and follow exactly where the volume is flowing.
Make it yours
Create custom lists of any category tag, and keep tabs on your favorite markets.
Questions, answered.
Brier is a modeling and market analytics layer for prediction markets. It shows you the shape of a market, not just its price, through distribution modeling, custom market organization, and divergence detection, so you can spot mispriced brackets before they close.
No. Brier is an independent tool built on top of Polymarket's public data. We're not affiliated with, endorsed by, or officially connected to Polymarket. Yet.
Instead of a single yes/no price, Brier models the full probability distribution implied by a market's related brackets, so you can see where the crowd's estimate sits relative to what the market should say.
It's how Brier flags brackets whose price has drifted away from the distribution implied by the rest of the market, surfacing the gap between what a market says and what it should say.
Yes. The notes editor autosaves as you write, supports slash commands, and lets you embed live market tables and price-history plots inline, alongside a watchlist for markets you're following.
Brier is built for Polymarket today, with support for other prediction market platforms coming soon.