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Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

Outcomes

Yes35.5%
No64.5%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsDec 31, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
PoliticsIran CeasefireGeopoliticsIran

Highlights

Volume
$17.4K
24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$462
Ends
Dec 31, 2026

Price history

35.5¢

About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify. For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe. Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity. Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
SellNoWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?45.0¢155d ago
SellYesWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?55.0¢155d ago
SellYesWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?11.8¢20017d ago
BuyYesWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?10.0¢2317d ago
SellNoWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?88.0¢17717d ago
BuyNoWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?88.0¢120d ago
SellNoWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?88.0¢120d ago
BuyNoWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?85.0¢20022d ago
SellNoWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?85.0¢20022d ago
BuyYesWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?17.0¢625d ago
SellYesWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?17.0¢625d ago
SellYesWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?12.4¢10729d ago
SellNoWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?88.0¢8829d ago
SellNoWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?86.0¢1929d ago
BuyNoWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?83.0¢534d ago
SellNoWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?83.0¢534d ago
BuyNoWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?85.7¢2335d ago
SellNoWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?86.0¢1735d ago
SellNoWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?85.0¢635d ago
BuyNoWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?86.0¢139d ago
SellNoWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?86.0¢139d ago
BuyNoWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?75.0¢2046d ago
BuyYesWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?25.0¢2046d ago
BuyYesWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?50.0¢249d ago
BuyNoWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?50.0¢249d ago
BuyYesWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?31.0¢3250d ago
BuyNoWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?69.0¢450d ago
BuyNoWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?69.0¢2950d ago
BuyYesWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?30.9¢20053d ago
BuyNoWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?69.0¢17153d ago
BuyNoWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?70.0¢1053d ago
SellYesWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?30.0¢553d ago
SellYesWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?30.0¢553d ago
SellYesWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?30.0¢953d ago
SellNoWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?75.0¢2657d ago
SellYesWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?25.0¢2657d ago
SellYesWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?22.0¢2059d ago
SellNoWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?78.0¢2059d ago
SellYesWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?22.0¢3059d ago
SellNoWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?78.0¢3059d ago

Holders

Yes+$88 total · +$9 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Disastrous-Bend+$27201Austere-Assist+$6132Male-Cacao+$22121Automatic-Hexagon+$774Belated-Glue+$155Melodic-Nightlight+$750Arid-Fly+$749Thunderous-Acid+$340Jumpy-Dashboard+$132Thorough-Neighbourhood+$623
No-$114 total · -$11 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Sharp-Astrakhan-$42400Speedy-Excellence-$41200Slippery-Apartment-$875Sleepy-Disconnection-$1358Equal-Neuron-$340Wilted-Bump-$319Direct-Chainstay-$216Mean-Schnitzel-Automation-$114Imaginary-Porthole-$110Trifling-Lunchroom-$17
PriceSizeTotal
60.0¢5030
93.0¢55
94.0¢98
95.0¢1010
98.0¢1111
99.0¢105104
Spread 98.0¢Mid 50.0¢
1.0¢12,312123
2.0¢3,33567
3.0¢2,08162
4.0¢96939
5.0¢52026
6.0¢40024
7.0¢50635
8.0¢40032
9.0¢22120
10.0¢778
11.0¢303