Fetching top markets…
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US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)3Iranceasefire
70%
August 31
$275.2K
$1.9M
Jul 31, 2026
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by...?3IranUS-Iran
70%
August 31
$216.0K
$810.3K
Aug 31, 2026
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?6IranUS-Iran
32%
December 31
$139.6K
$8.1M
Aug 18, 2026
Iran full airspace closure by...?4Iranclose
25%
August 31
$126.7K
$2.9M
Jul 31, 2026
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?4GeopoliticsTrump
13%
December 31
$83.3K
$3.3M
Aug 31, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politicsships
56%
Yes
$79.6K
$6.1M
Dec 31, 2026
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?4GeopoliticsIran Ceasefire
11%
December 31
$67.3K
$3.0M
Jul 31, 2026
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?2IranKhamenei
5%
August 31
$63.8K
$71.6K
Aug 31, 2026
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?4IranTrump
44%
August 31
$59.1K
$1.9M
Jul 31, 2026
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?2IranKhamenei
4%
August 31
$54.3K
$132.8K
Aug 31, 2026
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?19IranTrump
26%
No Meeting by September 30
$41.4K
$3.2M
Sep 30, 2026
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?GeopoliticsTrump
74%
No
$28.1K
$1.4M
Dec 31, 2026
Iran military action against a gulf state on...?5Iranqatar
16%
July 31
$15.6K
$151.1K
Jul 27, 2026
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?3PoliticsU.S. x Iran
13%
December 31
$9.2K
$2.0M
Sep 30, 2026
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?TrumpGeopolitics
99%
No
$4.2K
$947.3K
Jul 31, 2026
US charges Hormuz fees by...?3Irantoll
11%
December 31
$2.3K
$466.6K
Jul 31, 2026
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?2GeopoliticsLebanon
<1%
July 31
$1.4K
$589.9K
Jul 31, 2026
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?2IranKhamenei
4%
August 31
$1.3K
$19.1K
Aug 31, 2026
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by...?2IranKhamenei
6%
August 31
$1.0K
$37.7K
Aug 31, 2026
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by August 31?14IranTrump
50%
Nick Stewart
$891
$41.9K
Aug 31, 2026
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?2IranKhamenei
5%
August 31
$854
$76.7K
Jul 31, 2026
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?5Iranseize
47%
July 29
$420
$781
Jul 27, 2026
Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?2TrumpMiddle East
5%
December 31
$159
$91.4K
Dec 31, 2026
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?IranTrump
92%
No
$117
$45.3K
Sep 30, 2026
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?IranIsrael
99%
No
$76
$6.8K
Jul 31, 2026
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?IranPolitics
65%
No
—
$17.4K
Dec 31, 2026
26markets