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US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by...?3IranUS-Iran
99%
August 31
$768.8K
$1.5M
Aug 31, 2026
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)3Iranceasefire
74%
August 31
$285.3K
$2.0M
Jul 31, 2026
Iran full airspace closure by...?4Iranclose
28%
August 31
$171.2K
$3.0M
Jul 31, 2026
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?3IranTrump
52%
August 31
$152.3K
$933.8K
Jul 31, 2026
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?4IranTrump
51%
August 31
$102.1K
$1.9M
Jul 31, 2026
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?4GeopoliticsTrump
13%
December 31
$85.5K
$3.3M
Aug 31, 2026
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?2IranKhamenei
4%
August 31
$63.9K
$142.5K
Aug 31, 2026
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?2IranKhamenei
5%
August 31
$63.6K
$71.6K
Aug 31, 2026
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?18IranTrump
25%
Switzerland
$52.0K
$3.1M
Sep 30, 2026
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?IranPolitics
59%
Yes
$25.3K
$783.8K
Aug 20, 2026
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?GeopoliticsTrump
73%
No
$22.5K
$1.4M
Dec 31, 2026
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?2IranTrump
8%
August 15
$20.7K
$3.5M
Jul 31, 2026
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?3PoliticsU.S. x Iran
13%
December 31
$9.3K
$2.0M
Sep 30, 2026
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?6FundIran
33%
Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)
$6.9K
$393.5K
Dec 31, 2026
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?2OilIran
40%
August 31
$4.9K
$86.4K
Jul 31, 2026
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?TrumpGeopolitics
99%
No
$3.8K
$947.5K
Jul 31, 2026
US charges Hormuz fees by...?3Irantoll
11%
December 31
$3.6K
$468.2K
Jul 31, 2026
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?IranTrump
99%
No
$3.5K
$194.5K
Aug 1, 2026
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?2IranTrump
11%
August 31
$3.3K
$758.8K
Jul 31, 2026
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?4IranPolitics
29%
December 31
$2.1K
$210.8K
Jul 31, 2026
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?IranTrump
93%
No
$1.8K
$46.9K
Sep 30, 2026
HHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
IranKhamenei
96%
No
$1.1K
$8.7K
Aug 31, 2026
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?3OilIran
46%
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
$1.0K
$98.5K
Dec 31, 2026
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?2IranAraghchi
10%
September 30
$863
$52.3K
Jul 31, 2026
GGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
IranKhamenei
95%
No
$813
$16.2K
Aug 31, 2026
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?2Iranseize
45%
July 27
$437
$437
Jul 27, 2026
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?2IranKhamenei
6%
August 31
$433
$76.9K
Jul 31, 2026
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?3IranPolitics
20%
December 31
$427
$27.1K
Jul 31, 2026
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?IranTrump
99%
No
$112
$212.6K
Aug 1, 2026
Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?IranTrump
99%
No
$105
$16.3K
Aug 1, 2026
Will Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?IranTrump
100%
No
$82
$36.2K
Aug 1, 2026
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?IranTrump
99%
No
$51
$164.2K
Aug 1, 2026
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?Iranqatar
97%
No
$21
$67.0K
Sep 30, 2026
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?supreme leaderIran
93%
No
$9
$116.7K
Dec 31, 2026
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?IranTrump
99%
No
$8
$12.2K
Aug 1, 2026
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?IranTrump
99%
No
$8
$114.9K
Aug 1, 2026
Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?IranTrump
99%
No
$5
$28.2K
Aug 1, 2026
Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?IranTrump
99%
No
$5
$175.2K
Aug 1, 2026
US military draft authorized in 2026?PoliticsTrump
96%
No
$1
$513.9K
Dec 31, 2026
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?IranTrump
100%
No
—
$86.9K
Aug 1, 2026
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Middle EastPolitics
96%
No
—
$155.5K
Dec 31, 2026
41markets